Decent enough

Well many of the small speculative value bets didn’t pay off, although that’s the nature of those things anyway, one big hit and lots of small losses, I can take those all day as it’s great when they pay off, especially when laying at 1.04 or 1.01 as I did tonight on Torino! Napoli came good. I backed them again at 17-1 before they scored. I have exited at 2-2 even though I fully expect them to score more. I am just securing a green day as I have to go out, I wish I could have waited in as I could have had a much nicer green if they …

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trading

backing the draw at sampdoria for first 15 minutes, stats based. Laying draw at Roma at 30 minutes if 0-0. Laying under 2.5 goals (below 1.29) at HT if 0-0 in Rosenborg game …

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Another strange one!

Ternana v Varese This is a back the draw or back unders all day long. Stats based of course, so it can always result in an early shock loss, that goes without saying, but those goal stats are SO dismal, i may well back the draw down to 4 or maybe even 3.5 if i can watch the game and its as dire as the stats suggest! According to those stats, the game will be lucky to see a goal! Yet the odds suggest a goal fest. Only one can be true, and I know which one the stats say is more likely! Another approach to games like this, for …

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No LTD today, a strange one though….

This is a strange one indeed – Orleans v Sochaux The price looks like the home team are strong favourites, yet the stats say anything but that. I am tempted to back the draw or lay Orleans here. Need to think more about it yet and also not sure if I will be home for it, but if I am, I think there is a multitude of value bets on offer here, the stats and odds just don’t tally. …

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