I MAY have just found a trade from one of the longest but worst football coupons I have ever had the need to trawl through! Perhaps more than one…
Brazil Game – Santos v Ponte Preta – Not as good as the odds suggest so I wont be in before KO. But I reckon if the odds get to 3.5 before a goal is scored, I will be laying the draw. Here are the stats:
Some negatives are obvious here:
- The teams are only a few places apart in the league
- Both have 23 league points
- Away team don’t concede that many goals.
On the plus side:
- Away team score (when they do score) most away goals in first 30 minutes
- Home team won 5 home games, lost one
- Home team only failed to score once
- Home team concede a third of a goal per game, nice!
So, for me this is not a nailed on preKO trade, but it’s a definite possibility in play. Will watch some of the game if I can, for an extra edge/view.
A few others I looked at….
Danish game – Copenhagen – wouldn’t touch with your money!
Wigan v Manure – ????….
Now then…. here’s an interesting one….
Kazakhstan Premier League – ?!!?! That’s a new one for my trade selections! I was about to make a funny quip like “I ain’t trading this because Borat isn’t being fielded” 😀 However, I am laughing on the other side of my face after checking the stats….
I can’t really bring myself to say the words “I am trading this one” but, well I can’t find many reasons not to! Home team is league leader, always a good pick for LTD trades. Unbeaten at home, another great indicator usually. 9 wins, one draw! I wouldnt expect much volume but again I am put in my place. 5k the night before, that could well grow to 10-20k before KO, making it quite possibly an ideal trade! Still not convinced, new leagues always make me nervous! I will see how much bottle I wake up with. 😀
Cheers for now