Plus, given the stats, and accepting anything can happen here including the likely home win (based on current scoreline rather than stats), I see the 2-3 scoreline being priced at 85-1 as a value bet all day long, the probabilities of it are far better than those odds would represent in implied probabilities. So I had a cheeky £2 back on that. Small stuff, stakes I can easily afford to lose without the slightest bit of discomfort, and I feel stats make it value betting at its best, win or lose.

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