Hi all, just a quickie to comment on some emails and reader-suggested trades today…
Kawasaki – This is a good price for a LTD and I would not be against the idea of a trade from KO at 3.8ish, however the better option in my view is a wait and see job, HT LTD if scores are level, with (and/or) perhaps an Overs bet at HT if it’s 0-0 (small one as bet or larger one as a trade out after 1 or 2 goals)
Kofu v Kashiwa – I can’t remember who was considering trading this as an away LTD now, but my thoughts are a definite NO here. Looking at the home and away form for both teams, I would say there is as much chance of a home win as an away win, or a draw, purely based on stats and form. Definitely not a trade for me, unless you were backing the draw, not laying it! 🙂
Kashima v Sopporo – No way Jose! 🙂
This looks like a low scoring game all day long according to the stats, considering the draw price is 4.8 currently (ten mins to KO) this is a back the draw for me, perhaps until half time which is longer than I usually do, although if there is some decent green long before (which often happens if the game is dull which it should be on the probabilities at least) then I will green up and exit earlier 20-30 minutes. Remember though, one goal ruins that idea so it’s important to stake defensively, think “long term”. Maybe a small hedge bet on the away team (since they are underdogs but most likely to score in first half hour I think).
I hope that was a bit more useful than me replying by email where nobody else benefits. I have had many a good trade on Japanese league games, but you do have to be a bit careful with volume sometimes.