Update

Well two goals to Hearts. I am greening, and then laying them, not heavily, but they are not “supposed” to win this game, so maybe some more green to come. Edit: For those of you who are trading, you will have spotted that a few seconds after I posted this (old habits die hard, typing before doing!), Kilmarnock got a goal. My lay order at 1.15 was a split second from matching! It’s now 1.59, grr. Nice bit of green missed there, but can’t win em all. I could learn to order my bets before typing updates, but then that seems a bit tight to me. 😀

Update

Trip out cancelled so I am sticking around to see what comes up. Well Duisburg scored again but I still made a decent profit as I laid again at 1.02 when it went 3-0, and I didn’t green until 3-2. 1.02 is a nice price with 15-20 mins left of the game and the stats showing Darmstadt score a huge amount of their goals near the end of the game. I am laying the draw in Kilmarnock game, it’s 0-0 and stats suggest it won’t stay that way, not a killer trade but at 2.8ish, it’s a bargain I think. …

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Small speculative trade

Nothing of much interest tonight but I have laid Union Berlin under 1.2. I decided when it went 1-0 in the first minute that if they went 2-0 ahead I would lay them, especially after 30 minutes so I am going in now. Could go 3-0 or 4-0, but the likelihood of a goal from Koln is good enough for a lay on value below 1.2, all about the probabilities versus the odds. …

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More…

Ha, well that serves me right. I opened this post to say that Bournemouth Chelsea won’t stay 0-0, I had an order to lay under2.5 but it’s unmatched at 1.3 so I missed out. However the goal is from home team (which would have made a great lay of unders!) so there may be value to come, although I would usually want to see 2 dog goals before laying them or backing the other team. I am not that impressed with Chelsea’s away stats but they should score, it could be 1-1, 1-2, or even 2-1. I think I have missed this one so I will probably close that tab …

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Back to old habits!

Sorry, goal came within a minute of publishing that post. Why does that always happen?! I also note that the Aweber (email subscription) didn’t deliver the email instantly to me, so there is a delay in that system which never used to exist. I am going to discuss this with Aweber and if they can’t provide the service I am used to (instant emails after I post) then I will change the service while I am making a load of other site changes, these posts need to get out instantly, the winners, not just the losers, haha!! Celtic is currently in half time. I haven’t followed much Scottish football lately …

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Footie

Southampton game looks to have started off fairly slow going by the odds (I haven’t seen the game). I think it looks reasonable to expect at least a goal or two here, so having either a small LTD or a lay of under 2.5 below 1.25. Not decided which yet but thought I would drop a note here while I consider it!