Blog Category: Betfair Trading

Happy New Year!

Happy New Year Well mine has started well, connection issues again. BT did a great job of installing my optical fibre connection, through a large tree and across through neighbours garden to the pole. The only problem seems to be, trees grow. Apparently this is quite normal. But optical fibre cables don't grow at the […]

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gatekeeper

Doh, sorry I typed this an hour or two ago and thought I had posted it, came back to office and noticed it was still sitting waiting for me to click "publish".... Well after a tricky day yesterday which nearly ended quite red, I am going to play extra safe today by using half stakes […]

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Final update

Well, Man City saved the day in a pretty big way. i couldn't believe the odds got down as far as they did, 1.1 or near if i remember. I was laying it quite heavily, at least one goal had to come, although I wasn't impressed with the play again and I actually think there […]

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Laying Under 2.5 on Hull

Dropping a few down the ladder as price comes down if it reaches (1.27, 1.17, 1.07)

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Update

Well, that was far from a great day! A few more ops may come up yet, but it's most likely to end up red today no matter what ops come up this evening. I can't remember the last time I had such a run of losing trades in a week let alone a day. More […]

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Laying U2.5 @ Rochdale 1.4
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LTD

Aston Villa @ 1-1. Greened Bolton after 2-0. Need a few now, unreal day really. I certainly will wince a bit when next trade a Belgian game! I am digging out my wife's Belgian chocolates and sending the feckers back! Nasty little run of unlikely results, the Zulte game was one of the biggest shockers […]

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Zulte Waregem

I have exited, pretty disappointed in that game. Their H2H is unbelievable: What are the chances of 0-0 based on that history?! Well by all accounts today the chances are a lot higher than normal, but I am laying U0.5 as I can't have this scoreline! It's got be the most unlikely 0-0 out of […]

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I made a mistake here...

Just to show how easy it is to overlook one thing, and how important that is when approaching things like I do, i.e. looking for ANY reason to reject a trade... Oostende v Eupen I looked at the goal stats and form quite quickly and it looks great: 2.5 goals per game scored by home […]

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Watford

Was LTD then noticed U.2.5 is hardly any higher at 1.65 so I have laid U2.5, one goal and straight win. Stats look promising...

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Exit Oostende

Traded out of this back bet for small loss. Stats are awesome, but the play was anything but. Eupen seem stronger than I expected and Oostende seem a lot less slick than their stats suggest, nothing exciting going on and don't even look like a team who shouldn't be 1-0 down, so I am out […]

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Backed Oostende

Caught on the hop 3 mins from KO. They should be annihilating Eupen here, but I haven't bet too heavy as games that open like this can go a bit against the stats, and of course with Oostende now rushing to set the score straight, they could get caught again. But I am backing them […]

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Monday 26th December

Well yesterday was a cracker of a day in the end, even though most of my trades were half stakes or less, and lots of experimental trading and odd bits and pieces in my Betfair trading app. I traded various leagues I have never touched before, Morocco, Kuwait, Israel and others. Plenty of goals around […]

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Perhaps slightly naughty win

Well I said 60 mins but bang on the turn of 60 mins there was a fairly long injury break. It was end to end with blocked shots from both teams so definitely looked like goals. My plan was to see if the game picked up after HT team talk, as it was dead first […]

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LTD

Sanliurfaspor - Laying draw at HT until 60 mins only.

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LTD

Torino - HT to 65 minutes. Its not as strong as some, but some points on the stats i can't ignore... Previous meetings - 5-6 goals per game, yet none so far here Average goals and home form is excellent: I won't be letting this run for ever though, some games I would run to […]

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Roma

Well Roma were 0-1 down and still favourites on the odds. That would normally mean i am not interested but after a look at stats, as i said to my friend, 'if Roma lose this goal I will eat my shoes'. So i backed them just before that free kick and goal. Gutted really, I […]

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22 Dec

I am out most of today and busying around with family stuff so no plans to trade today and I haven't done any analysis. If I notice a shock scoreline later which I can't resist being involved in I may update again later. Happy huntin folks

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Wednesday 21 December

Some early thoughts for today. I am out this afternoon so not sure what time I will be home, hopefully early enough to be involved in some of these: Hoffenheim 30 minute LTD - ideally I want to see some of the game first. Hertha Berlin Tempted to lay draw from the start, but it […]

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Dirtmund

How on earth that ended 1-1 I will never know. One of those days. when Augsburg scored the first goal I was watching and it was clearly a lucky break.  Dormund went out to 3.0 and I was inches away from entering a back bet when they equalised, so i missed that. Then at 1-1 […]

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