Having a small (value) lay on Duisburg who are 2-0 up. Probabilities again, far from a sure winner, but I think the chances of Darmstadt are good enough for a lay at 1.16 I am out this evening so won’t be trading any others
Nothing of much interest tonight but I have laid Union Berlin under 1.2. I decided when it went 1-0 in the first minute that if they went 2-0 ahead I would lay them, especially after 30 minutes so I am going in now. Could go 3-0 or 4-0, but the likelihood of a goal from Koln is good enough for a lay on value below 1.2, all about the probabilities versus the odds. …
Ha, well that serves me right. I opened this post to say that Bournemouth Chelsea won’t stay 0-0, I had an order to lay under2.5 but it’s unmatched at 1.3 so I missed out. However the goal is from home team (which would have made a great lay of unders!) so there may be value to come, although I would usually want to see 2 dog goals before laying them or backing the other team. I am not that impressed with Chelsea’s away stats but they should score, it could be 1-1, 1-2, or even 2-1. I think I have missed this one so I will probably close that tab …
Sorry, goal came within a minute of publishing that post. Why does that always happen?! I also note that the Aweber (email subscription) didn’t deliver the email instantly to me, so there is a delay in that system which never used to exist. I am going to discuss this with Aweber and if they can’t provide the service I am used to (instant emails after I post) then I will change the service while I am making a load of other site changes, these posts need to get out instantly, the winners, not just the losers, haha!! Celtic is currently in half time. I haven’t followed much Scottish football lately …
Southampton game looks to have started off fairly slow going by the odds (I haven’t seen the game). I think it looks reasonable to expect at least a goal or two here, so having either a small LTD or a lay of under 2.5 below 1.25. Not decided which yet but thought I would drop a note here while I consider it!
It’s pretty funny, well it is sitting here anyway! I have had quite a few people asking me to post in play stuff more when I can as I have been pretty slack with posting lately even before having the excuse of working on the ‘Bible’. I had my first proper evening of “let’s see what happens” in play/value-betting on footie, first time in a little while anyway. I intended to post various bits and bobs as they came up, like I used to a long while back. I am out of the office and with a friend enjoying a few days of fun and discussion of Betfair stuff, oh …
Greuger Furth @ 2.5