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Just posting this quick before my full update. I have laid the draw in Bilbao v Eibar game. 3.2. Not a goalsy game, but this price gives me so much time in the trade, and possibly a chance to profit from either team taking the lead. if it was 3.7 i woudn't be doing it, […]

Willem 2 v Twente - Tricky what to do here. I feel this game will not end 0-0. the historic games between these teams are usually full of goals, with 5 often being score. twente should win, its just how to do it. Half of me likes the idea of laying U2.5 as its so […]

I have laid Liverpool again (3-1) at 1.03. I didn't do much, I still have a green on all outcomes, but a much bigger green on a draw or bournemouth win. if it goes 2-3 I will green yet more up on Liverpool but still leave more on them losing or drawing.

I had this post half typed, which was basically saying I am laying Anderlecht at around 1.06. They have just had a red card so their odds have come up. Of course most people would say the red card should make this a beter trade, but the increase from 1.06 to 1.13 is a bit […]

I have exited, but just made my green on Pool the same as my initial total risk, with a much nicer green  on Bournemouth and the Draw. Not sure why, maybe that news thing I heard is influencing me, but i always like to see Liverpool trip up so I am hoping they do here. […]

I know this sounds a bit mad, they are on a great run of form and scoring goals for fun lately. I can easily see a 4-0 win to liverpool here. But....... 1.07 is basiclly saying 93% they will win. I think that implied probability is slightly too generous, so there is value here either […]

1-1 I have laid AC after the goal leaving all my green on them and no lose on other outcomes, will green at 2-1. a value gambler would leave it to a bet, but 2-1 will see a nice low price to green a good 70-80% of my current green so i dont see the […]

I was away yesterday and only just back home. One very quick glance and I have decided to back AC Milan at 2.2. This looks like a 2-1 or 3-1 to me, possibly a 3-2 but at more than evens I think this is a good price. It would be nicer if it was 0-2, […]

A couple of important points here... when exiting this method its important to manually enter the exit stake, not click Cash Out button. This is because there is usually a wide gap between the two sides of the book, between back and lay prices i mean, and that can hand back a lot of profit. […]

Just a quick follow up to explain a bit more of what makes this an ideal back the draw... (and I am still trying to remember some of the rules!) Above - Very low activity = good for no more goals, or maybe one from home team. Possession 80% in Sheffield's hands, makes another away […]

I am backing the draw in this game now. Not a method I have had chance to explain yet, but basically : Stats suggest Walsall score very few away from home. Home team is much stronger on stats. So 2-1 ways to win. If no more goals, the draw price should keep dropping until around […]

Sheffield - Not good enough stats to justify the price of 5 from KO. but half time will interest me if drawing Copenhagen - Opposite to above. The stats look good enough to justify a much higher price than 4.6, more like 5.6 which I am sure it would be if this was a game […]

2-4 It was looking like being a case of PSV coming back strong, or trying so hard to do so that they left their goal open. clearly the latter is the case! Still, some recovered green and a small loss to end a day that could have been a small green day, no biggie either […]

I could see that goal coming, but I was happy for either team to score as this has the feeling of one of those "any other score" type games! I traded out for small loss at 1-2, and may re-enter at 2-2, but it could go 1-3 which would offer a nice low lay on […]

When i said hanging on for a goal, I didn't mean for them to concede one! Wish I got out now, I would have been back in now though!

I am holding on for another goal until 55 minutes.

Stuttgart This looks like a game with plenty of goals. But the away team score too many goals to make this an ideal LTD from KO. Therefore I will leave it alone unless (hopefully) something odd happens, such as no goals being scored by HT (in which case I would LTD, also would at 1-1). […]

I am laying the draw in Schalke game at 3.05. It's not too cheap considering how long has been played, but I think the probabilities of a goal in the next 20 minutes are high enough to make the trade worth the risk.

Just a quick note and thanks to one of my readers based in Holland (I assume) who emailed to say : "A big part of this youthteam played yesterday international against Panathinaikos. I think they will be replaced by players of lower youthteam" This is definitely cause for concern if they do field a weaker […]

MVV v Den Bosch - This looks decent. Not as high priced as I would expect either. The only slight negative is the home team score a lot of their goals in the second half, but against these weak opponents I would expect goals in the first half. However all things considered I think the […]