Some Saturday LTD picks and....
Here are a few picks for tomorrow, I didn't realise how long since I posted on here, funny how you get out of the habit of something and it's easy to forget about for a while!
So, some footie picks which I just scanned very quickly before I crank up the pizza oven and start spinning some dough on the ceiling, too sunny to sit at desk much longer today!
Metz v Bordeaux
It's an away LTD so it's a beginner trader's "avoid" really, but I like the look of it.
Bordeaux are scoring goals and actually score more often away than at home (more failed to score at home). They have a good record against Metz, and the teams they have beaten recently away from home were decent teams, Metz are dragging along the bottom of the league, and that makes it just about a trade for me.
However I would probably seek in play action, probably waiting around 20-25 minutes to get in, hopefully for a nice cheap price and ready for a decent green when they score one or perhaps two. (Exit would be decided depending on the play and time of goal)
Toulouse v Guingamp
Not sure what's going on here. The price seems way off.
The stats show hardly any difference, Toulouse is lower in league, not sure how to deal with it if it all. I think I would consider backing the draw here (or laying Toulouse is a gutsier move).
Back draw for 20 minutes, possibly 30 but I doubt it will get that far without goals. There looks to be some value in it, obviously no crystal ball available, but the stats and the prices do not match at all, so I would dabble somewhere in the market.
Saint Etienne v Lille
LTD @ HT until 60-65 mins if the scores are level.
Lyon v Nice
Stats suggest a goalsy game here. I would hope to sit tight for 10-15 minutes and the lay the draw at 5, but I may be tempted to go in much earlier if it looks like a goal fest from the KO.
Caen v PSG
LTD from KO. Regardless of that, if for some reason the scores are level at 75 minutes I will LTD as a bet to the end.
Sevilla v Alaves
Unlikely but if it's level at HT, I will LTD until 60-65 mins (or lay U2.5, depending on value)
Celta Vigo v Levante
Again unlikely but it's a LTD or Lay Under2.5 around 60-65 mins if level.
Hope you all have a good day, that's just a few which are of interest to me tomorrow. More on UKFT soon. Til next time.....
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