Sunday 14th April Betfair Trades

Sunday, 14 April 2013, 12:18

Lots of tempters today so discipline needed in selections. This is what I am doing today:

1700hrs - Olympiakos v Panathinikos - Lay the draw @ 4.4 - The only reason I have any doubts about this one is the very low number of goals conceded by Panathinikos. They have a very good defence. However the stats (here) show that against PAOK (2nd in league below Olympiakos) they still conceded 2 goals back in March, so I would expect a very heavily in form league leader to score one or two before half time here. Therefore I will be trading the match despite the goal conceding stats being at a level which would usually put me off. If it was priced around 5 (as I would expect considering league positions of teams and the form) I would leave it alone, but at 4.5 I think this is a good enough value trade)

I thought I would have more than one trade today but nothing else is strong enough. If I was being really cautious I would not trade at all today, but I am doing the Olympiakos game.

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