Sunday 16 October

Sunday, 16 October 2016, 11:22

Anderlecht v Lokoren

Liquidity is low, but it's a half time lay the draw (if the game is level)

St Ettiene v Dijon

Stats suggest this is a 60 minute LTD bet, rather than a KO trade, in an ideal world.

But I have a feel St Etienne could score earlier here against such weak opponents. The goal stats could be better, but the price could be a LOT worse.

It's at 3.7 currently so due to that, this is a KO LTD for me, maybe  for half stakes, adding another half stake at HT if still 0-0. I may watch the opening 5-10 minutes on half stakes to decide whether to add the other half early or wait.

It could well be a tight game until the last 20 minutes or so, but at such a cheap price I would rather be involved from the KO.

ADO Den Hag v Ajax

Torn between waiting for HT for a cheaper entry, or taking it from KO. Since the odds are 4.8 I think I will go with a KO trade, if it was over 5 I would wait for a better price in play.

Mainz v Darmstadt

Interesting one this. In many ways it could be argued that this shouldn't be touched, unless level at 70-75 minutes.

But despite no home wins for Mainz, they have scored heavily in the games they have lost, they just have a bad defensive record. But Darmstadt have a useless scoring record and a heavy conceding record.

Therefore I think this is likely to be the day Mainz score a good home win which they badly need, they will not be here for a point, they will want all 3 for the win, so all things considered (including the cheap price) this is a plain vanilla 'lay the draw from kick off', perhaps adding to the trade at 75 minutes if it goes level again or is still level as the late scoring of Mainz is a huge statistic, I just don't think they will leave it that late this time.

Sassuolo v Crotone

Another interesting one but I will leave this alone purely because of the trade above, I don't take too many "interesting" ones in the same day. Home team don't score a lot, but away team don't either and they do concede goals. There is a chance of a HT or later LTD here but not sure yet.

Inter v Cagliari

Very high priced considering Inter aren't scoring too well of late. However one to watch for a LTD in play after HT as I do think Inter need a win here to get themselves up where they feel they belong in the table.

Sion v Grasshopper

Aside from the fact someone really needs to help them name their football teams properly (:D) this isn't a trade as such, but one to note as if its level at 75 minutes I may get involved either on the draw market or the U/O2.5 market.

That's all for today, not the average beginner-friendly Betfair trading day.

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