Blog

Backing draw

Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar - Anything can happen, but this is a value bet for me. Its way overpriced. This is two teams which sit alongside each other in the league, usually suggesting a cagey affair. They are both good and capable of scoring but both have good form at home and away respectively, so […]

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short notice LTD

I am going to trade Red Bull Salzburg which has just kicked off, if and when the odds come down below 5. Their last two home meetings against this team saw them score 6 goals, and they average 3.89 goals per game at home. Thats nice!

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Friday

Well I dabbled with some old school scalping and bookmaking on horse racing markets today, only half an hour or so while checking emails (never do two things at once when trading!). I also got another spam text tip. This one I traded because it was from the same scum bag who texted me yesterday […]

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Make the spammer swines pay!

I'm not sure if I have mentioned it before, but I get a lot of texts to my mobile from horse racing tipping spammers/scammers. That's all they are, they are not tipsters, just spammers who I would really love to get in a dark room somewhere. Utter scum the lot of em, sending texts to […]

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Sunday LTD

Brondby (Danish game) looks a very close call, but I am avoiding temptation even though the stats suggest they could score a load of goals today. The away team doesnt concede a lot, and thats enough to turn it down for me today. Cruzeiro is the same, could be a good few goals but both […]

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OK, i got tempted to do a half way house

small LTD now its below 1.5, just to spread mnore green to a win for either, and less for draw. the numbers stack up nicely. Happy with the draw winnings if it stays a draw, but the game is busy and shots from both ends, so i think its a value bet here as more […]

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2-2 - exiting

not bad considering thats less than I risked on the trade, and stats showed it was clearly a likelihood now the question is, do i gamble it on a LTD?! Usually I would, but after my run of late I am keeping it. Whilst I do expect a 3-2 finish!

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napoli goal

laying some off but keeping some back as i dont expect it to finish 1-2  

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Now laying Empoli at 2-0

empoli scored again, despite 90% of the games attacking moves, shots on and off target, and blocked shots all coming from Napoli. I have laid Empoli at 1.38.  

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Backing Napoli

Napoli v Empoli - looks like a LTD but Empoli have gone ahead and its HT. I am backing Napoli as expecting them to score (stats based expectation of course!)

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weird one today

I wont be trading any football matches as I am out shortly, but I had a look at Dortmund v Hoffenheim and I am absolutely confused about the odds! The stats are in no way suggestive of a hugely likely home win. of course it could happen, and may well do, but the ODDS on […]

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one winning trade today

I mentioned it on facebook and twitter as the website was down. goal after 7 minutes. if you are not subscribed to my facebook and twitter pages, please do so via the images in the sidebar, that way you can get updates from me if the site goes down like today.

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out with profit, the back door way but hey who cares?!
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haha, they scored.

wrong end though. nice welcome back to trading!

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Quick trade announcement

SerieA Italy - AC Milan v Palermo - just kicked off and i was late doing stats. I am laying the draw at 4.1. Stats didn't blow my socks off, but good enough to scrape in as acceptable for a lay the draw trade. Nothing else of interest on today's coupon

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Almost a profit!

OK I ran it on a bit longer than planned as everything looked pretty dull in the game, I was just trading out at around 25 minutes when they did the inevitable. I only paid 1.04 for my lay so I only stand to lose £40 when Spain win, worth it I think but next […]

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No proper trades today, but might try an old method on Spain...

Spain is priced at 1.06. As we can see from Germany last night, nothing is very ordinary about these big international qualifiers and friendlies, hence why I never trade them with the LTD strategy or any other in-play method which relies on a strong performance from the favourites. However, maybe I am just itching to […]

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dammmmn internet

sorry folks, after all that planning to get back on the football trading pronto, my physical line into the house went down and its taken ages to get BT to sort out a fix. I have a new high speed line being installed in the next 1-2 weeks (if my neighbours allow us to remove […]

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HA HA HA HA HA

Well, Turkey was a tight affair. After the red card at 0-0, I decided to take the advantage that offered and traded out for a £30 loss, which is damn good value considering i was in the trade for nearly 65 minutes. But.... of course..... 30 seconds after I traded out, Fenerbahce got the goal. […]

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Trades

Well I have two games I am trading today. I may end up wishing I hadn't traded either, as both have slight potential problems in the stats, but if lady luck doesn't have anything against me today, I can't see why these two shouldn't both pay out. I do feel a bit strange though, and […]

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