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Torino - HT to 65 minutes. Its not as strong as some, but some points on the stats i can't ignore... Previous meetings - 5-6 goals per game, yet none so far here Average goals and home form is excellent: I won't be letting this run for ever though, some games I would run to […]

Well Roma were 0-1 down and still favourites on the odds. That would normally mean i am not interested but after a look at stats, as i said to my friend, 'if Roma lose this goal I will eat my shoes'. So i backed them just before that free kick and goal. Gutted really, I […]

I am out most of today and busying around with family stuff so no plans to trade today and I haven't done any analysis. If I notice a shock scoreline later which I can't resist being involved in I may update again later. Happy huntin folks

Some early thoughts for today. I am out this afternoon so not sure what time I will be home, hopefully early enough to be involved in some of these: Hoffenheim 30 minute LTD - ideally I want to see some of the game first. Hertha Berlin Tempted to lay draw from the start, but it […]

How on earth that ended 1-1 I will never know. One of those days. when Augsburg scored the first goal I was watching and it was clearly a lucky break.  Dormund went out to 3.0 and I was inches away from entering a back bet when they equalised, so i missed that. Then at 1-1 […]

Laying U2.5 at 1.25, again at 1.13 if no goals

Laying draw now

Well I said I wouldn't do anything early in Mouscron game but that ended up being a bit of a porkie. I noticed I could lay Under0.5 goals at 1.08 just before KO. I decided thats 8 ticks loss if a goal goes in, and wondered how long it would take to get 8 ticks […]

ha, too late. didn't put mine on either! So often you can see why I discount cup games from my normal LTD approach. Check out the odds on Villareal and the draw before KO. Many people will have got badly burned here. I was about to back VR at 3 and missed it. tempted at […]

Well my little throwaway bet stayed goal-less I see. I had someone ask why I didn't keep tabs on this one in case of a goal, i.e. to green up if so. I didn't have time to explain last night, but this wasn't just a frivolous bet, there was some logic behind it which I […]

Just as I was running out to collect cold BBQ ribs, I got a few emails saying the updates and ezine list emails were delayed. Looks like around 30 minutes. I have no idea why, its never happened before so it could be the ezine list manager or it could be my site's hosting. i […]

PSV2 v MVV is interesting me a bit. That game should not finish without goals, both teams are equally capable of banging in several shots, and while there may not be that many with quality playing quality, there should be some. I don't know who will win, either could, but A LTD around 60 minutes […]

Viitorul Constanta- I am having a small LTD just before HT

Big coupon today, plenty of trading discipline and selectivity needed today as well as concentration as many in play trade opportunities are likely to appear. There's a lot of sketchy LTDs which in my view are best avoided. Juventus v Roma Home form is awesome. However the league positions bother me as in theory if […]

Not a great coupon today Breda v Emmen - May look at a cheap lay in last 20 minutes if level Nothing else of interest unless any in play trading ops come up

Well Sheffield got the goal and i am off to enjoy some telly now. I had added to my LTD position at 85 minutes just before the pitch invasion. I was sure a goal was coming but was worried BetUNfair would make everyone losers if it was abandoned, I have had that problem before and […]

Sheffield started off all over Coventry then sat back after they scored stupidly. Coventry scored a fairly lucky goal, and whilst I am not hugely confident I think the stats suggest a lay the draw at 2.4 or lower, idealy at 2 but I am gettin in now, no exit, letting it run, greening if […]

despite Heracles down to 10 men i am laying sparta at 1.05 for pocket change

Further to comments on last post I am having a lay of OFI in Greek cup game. Very little logic for it other than: 1.04 means I can risk next to nothing, away team do score goals more than occasionally Prices have been so odd I fear there may be something odd going on here. […]

Well yesterday turned out to be worth getting involved. I had a takeaway and didn't stay in the office, but after the Newcastle goal I came to the office to exit 2/3 trades and by the time I sat down there was a goal in the third game. I laid the draw in all three […]