Blog

Reader questions about "Value" bets

I have had a few comments recently regarding the concept of "Value" when trading on Betfair's exchange. I answered those queries but after responding to another one today I thought I would put up a quick post using my reply in case other readers are wondering about it too. Maybe it's just a coincidence or […]

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Bolivian Game

Hi all, I had an email from a reader just as I was leaving the desk, so as I typed a reply I thought it would be better to put it here in case anyone else considered the same football match for laying the draw. Before I paste that, a quick word on the ebook […]

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Just a quickie...

Hi all, I had an email from a reader just as I was leaving the desk, so as I typed a reply I thought it would be better to put it here in case anyone else considered the same football match for laying the draw. Before I paste that, a quick word on the ebook […]

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Some Saturday LTD picks and....

Here are a few picks for tomorrow, I didn't realise how long since I posted on here, funny how you get out of the habit of something and it's easy to forget about for a while! So, some footie picks which I just scanned very quickly before I crank up the pizza oven and start […]

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A few football trading comments for today

Howdy all. A few readers have asked about a few games today so I am going to list a few which I think are worth a comment or two: Sevilla v Getafe The odds are currently 4.6 on the draw. I like the look of this. It's not without risks, the main risks are an […]

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Manure

Decent day. Only Man U left for me and not been electrified by the game but I think a goal or two is coming. I am laying Under 2.5 goals at 1.11. Cue a no score draw! Not bothered, good day either way, and there should be a goal or two. Hope you all survived […]

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Happy New Year Betfair Traders!

Well here begins another one! My NY celebrations fell apart at the last minute so like a sad old git I had a nice bottle of 10 year old red with my 20 year old wife (well ok, but she looked it after the wine) and she fell asleep in front of some mainstream TV […]

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Ho Ho Ho etc, a discount code, oh and some footie picks!

Well it's been a while since I posted some trading tips so I thought I would drop some thoughts for Boxing Day's footie...... Spurs At those odds I would be more tempted to lay Spurs than lay the draw! One to avoid I think, regardless of the obvious slaughter being quite possible, just nowhere near […]

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A few more football shortlist questions from J

Bruges "Excellent post Tim. I have a couple of trades that I am looking at today that you have not mentioned so I just thought I'd ask what you think of the following trades: *1.30 Club Brugges KO trade. *2.30 Gornik Zabrze (Polish League) - after 30 mins if the game is lively *7.00 Rosenborg […]

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Sunday 1 Oct

Some of you regular UKFT readers have sent me quite a few questions for today's busy coupon so I will answer with my thoughts below. All Traders Have Bad Days! Before that let me confirm that yesterday wasn't a great day on the football for me either! These things happen as most people know but […]

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Saturday games questions

I have had a few people asking me to comment on some of their shortlisted games so here goes... Levante v Deportivo Alaves I agree with you Al this is one of those you could be forgiven for ignoring based on the unimpressive stats of the home team, but it's one of those where the […]

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In Play horses

A few of my readers who trade the racing (specifically referring to my In Play racing methods) mentioned Croquembouche. Yes and what a pick it was, but NOT because it won! I am a bit concerned already that some people are falling for the old "Wait... it might WIN!" problem, which plagues the In-Play trading […]

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Replies to a few readers....

Hi all, just a quickie to comment on some emails and reader-suggested trades today... Kawasaki This is a good price for a LTD and I would not be against the idea of a trade from KO at 3.8ish, however the better option in my view is a wait and see job, HT LTD if scores […]

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Rigged game?

Well I have had another couple of crazy weeks involving hospitals and NHS mistakes which I won't even go into as my blood is boiling enough that I can't bear to talk about it right now, I will put my energy into a monster complaint instead. I had a message from a regular reader (thanks […]

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Content updated

Hi all, just a quickie to say I have finally got round to fully updating my article on pre-race horse racing trading. I put a lot of time into this as so many have asked for a lot more info than I offered before. An ebook will follow as soon as I can, but for […]

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Delays....

Seems I am saying this every month, but I am unwell again and on strong antibiotics yet abloodygain. Half my own fault for being too run down, so much going on in life at the moment with sick relatives and all sorts of other stuff, but another month or so and I should have a […]

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OMG - It worked?!

Thanks to Stuart who this morning alerted me to how it appears to be fixed. Betfair's "All" or "Today" coupon DOES now show ALL games for today. I thought this was "impossible" yesterday, amazing how quick they overcame and rewrote the laws of physics! Thanks to all those who dropped a complaint or comment to […]

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Betfair Screw Up - Yet again

Thanks to an email from a UKFT reader, I thought I should make a quick post to explain a few things about the new and "improved" (HA HA HA HA) Betfair website. You may have noticed that their website changed very recently. It looks different, but is actually not much different at all, just a […]

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Update

Hi all, sorry for lack of posts recently. There are various reasons, some slightly experimental too, so here is a summary... I got ill yet again, driving me crazy and don't think my body can take many more courses of antibiotics at this rate! That caused me to stop posting for a while, trading is […]

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Wednesday 25 Jan

Leeds v Nott Forest - This looks excellent value. Stats suggest best entry is half time, or 15 mins in at earliest. but given the very cheap entry before KO (which may rise I suspect) of just under 4, I would think a KO entry may as well be taken here.

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