Blog

In Play trading

I am having a lay the draw on Gent v Braga. Not stats based, just based on the 2-2 scoreline and both teams clearly being up for scoring. I am going in around 2.26 for what i think is a good reward to risk, leaving it to the end of the game of course, unless […]

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Well that's that over with - Trump/Clinton Election

I know UKFT is all about sports trading, and the last thing I want to do is discuss politics on the site, but just thought I would post how i made some small but easy money last night on that absolute joke (by that i mean the media coverage) of the U.S. Presidential election results. […]

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Tasty finish to the day

That's what I was looking at, at 83 mins into the game. Talk about leaving things late. That's why many of my LTDs are rejected, teams who do this regularly are worth keeping in a little black book for future reference, they are deadly for LTD traders, but great for laying unders late on. Who […]

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U.25

I am having a low liability Lay Under 2.5 goals on Inter v Crotone game. 1.11 Adding at 1.03

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Sunday 6 November

I missed Stuttgart unfortunately and its 1-0 already. I started a bit late today. SV Sandhausen v Munich - Not a standard trade but its 1-1 after 15 minutes and i think there are more goals here so worth a lay at 2.7 now. Less than half price trade.Their last meeting had 5 goals and […]

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Thursday 27 October

I have come down with this damn virus again so I expect the next few days to a week will be limited time at the desk here, just so you know if I go quiet for a bit. Another strong course of antibiotics began today which perked me up enough to sit here for half […]

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Tuesday 25 October

Lots of cup rubbish today, the only two possibles were Eastleigh and Orgryte Eastleigh - not good enough to merit the high price (4.4 currently). There is an argument for a short lower risk trade at HT if it's 0-0 or 1-1, but not sure if I will be at the desk so don't know […]

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Monday 24 October

Only two games I looked at in any depth, Djurgardens and Braga. Djurgardens is a definite no trade. Braga v Chaves has some qualities, they never lose to Chaves (historically speaking of course!) The price is cheap, the few goals Chaves score come at least half the time in the last 15 minutes, which offers […]

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Sunday 23 October

Eintracht Braunschweig v Furth Laying Under 2.5 goals shortly, around 1.45. Pure risk reward trade, I think there should be plenty of goals  but will remove liability after first goal if one comes, and wait for second to green my original liability, rest left to full bet until FT. Flamengo v Corinthians Brazil is one […]

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Update

Well Galatasaray was a great example of how stats are only useful "most" of the time, not ALL of it! I am glad I dodged that, what a messy trade that could have been. And this is so often the case in my trading experience with Greek and Turkish games. Maybe it's pure coincidence but […]

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Saturday 22 October

Galatasaray v Trabz Slightly tricky one this, tricky as far as deciding whether to trade or not I mean. Plus points: Fantastic green home form card Lovely red away form card (league games only), with not one single goal scored in last 4 games, but 15 goals conceded in those 4 games! Big distance between […]

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Friday 21 October

Quite a heavy process of football trade selection today... Monaco v Montpellier This looks good. It's either a kick off trade or a half time trade, or for some perhaps a half stake @ KO and add to it at HT if 0-0. However, it's strong enough and cheap enough to be in from the […]

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0-0!

Crikey, it doesn't surprise me as much as I am sure it surprised many punters and traders alike. There is a method which I know quite a few people follow based on stats provided by a certain website online. That site gave the stats as: Chances of a Draw - 5%!!!!! Over2.5 - 75%!! I […]

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Pool

Torn between LTD and U2.5 but I think U2.5 is the one to go for. It's survivable if it ends 0-0, allows more time in the trade, and will offer more green for a sudden late flurry of goals, which I think will happen when someone breaks the silence, which will probably be liverpool based […]

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Liverpool

Although this doesn't line up for a LTD based on the odds, it does look a goalsy game to me so i may consider a LTD at 30mins if no goals (which I think is unlikely, hence why I wont enter til then if it happens) or if I don't trade and somehow the game […]

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Layin

Laying Over 2.5 goals for 15 minutes on Liefering game

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Monday 17 October

Eibar v Osasuna Not great but if it's 0-0 at 40 minutes I may have a LTD, hopefully after watching some of the game. Braunschweig v Kaiserslautern I am a bit baffled by the price here, the stats look more like a 5.5 LTD than a 3.8?!!?!?!?! I must be missing something. time to read […]

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Sunday 16 October

Anderlecht v Lokoren Liquidity is low, but it's a half time lay the draw (if the game is level) St Ettiene v Dijon Stats suggest this is a 60 minute LTD bet, rather than a KO trade, in an ideal world. But I have a feel St Etienne could score earlier here against such weak […]

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Small lay

I am having a very small lay on Elche in the Zaragoza game. I do not expect to win any money, so it's extremely low liability stuff, but the stats suggest Zaragoza should score a goal or two in this game usually anyway. The 0-3 scoreline is usually something to avoid as the game is […]

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Other games

I have had an email from a regular UKFT reader 'James' asking me to take a look at a few others he spotted and give my thoughts or reasons I didn't mention them, so here goes... "- Napoli v Roma - snag here is that they are very close together in the table but everything […]

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