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Las Palmas v Espanyol is a good example of how football trading stats can, at least occasionally, be undone by live action. More importantly, this is why my laying the draw ebook talks a lot about money management and letting a bad trade go, without chasing it or trying to recoup anything. Losing trades are […]

PS I forgot to mention, in relation to this post I made a little while ago (thanks Dom), the odds on Southgate are now down to 1.13. Just in case anyone did anything about it and has forgotten, I have done that more than a few times!  

Well my ickle flutter was a small throwaway bet in the end, but I still believe in it despite losing a few quid, and this is often the way to know whether what you did was right (from a value/edge/trading angle) or not. =If you lose and feel guilty or bad about yourself, that's a […]

Well I didn't realise the Madrid manager doesn't bring on decent players until 60 minutes in! Maybe that's why the stats look the way they do, always trust the stats! The goal came within a minute or two his subs including bringing on Ronaldo. 1-0, i exited leaving 90% of my green on over 2.5 […]

Valencia v Madrid - 0-0 @ HT. I am laying Under2.5 goals for half stake now, and half stake at 60 minutes if still no goals by then. Will partially green after 1 goal, maybe just to remove any potential loss, or may wait for second depending on the game.

Big shortlist today, will work my way through as I type this.... Valencia v Madrid Well at first I wasn't that keen and obviously being an away LTD always means I am very reluctant to take it especially in Spain where home sides get massive support from the crowd and this can have a big […]

Well I am only half sorry! Usually I stick a quick update on the site before I do what I am doing! This has cost me a few trades in the past so this time I banged in a few clicks to get my bet on first around 1.68, then I dived over to the […]

I am having a dabble with a small LTD on Hanover v St Pauli at 1.6 ish. Stats suggest a goal here and Hanover can't want to let a chance for a win to slip through their hands here, surely?!

Not much on today's card after all. Everton v Crystal Palace - I can see Palace being the Leicester of this year, no I don't think they will win the league, but I think they could shock people with how well they could do. This is just commentary, not relevant to trading directly. This game […]

Well I know stats are the only reliable thing to go on in football, but having just watched a good half an hour of that game, I can honestly say I can't remember ever seeing a more boring and pathetic game of football in my life! They can't pass the ball to their own players, […]

My site contains NO TRADING ADVICE OF ANY KIND! That applies to this post as well as all others! Thanks to Dom for this one.... Betfair exchange "next England manager" market states in the terms and conditions that an interim manager who completes 3 full international games as manager including friendlies "will be considered to […]

Very little of interest today but there is one trade. This is the kind of borderline trade I would reject on some days, there are pros and cons but overall due to the price (mainly) I think I will trade this one. The colour of the form card certainly looks peachy. The number of 1s […]

Thanks to James, Goteborg was an easy winner although smaller profit than usual due to limited odds movement which seems quite common in Swedish games. Telephone calls are a pain in the ar5e! I waited on the Norrkoping game, it went 2-0 and I was just entering my order to lay the winning team at […]

Thanks to a reader (James) I missed another one which he spotted... IFK Goteborg v Ostersunds. Here are the stats. If I was picking faults with it I can only find two small ones, firstly the 3-0 away win on Ostersunds form card, that was a fairly respectable team they beat strongly at home without […]

Slightly interesting day today, will get to that in a sec First things first, one LTD trade. Norrkoping v Djurgardens 6pm - Stats here - This looks a good trade. Home form is nothing short of awesome when it comes to scoring goals. Away team's form is pretty dire. Priced in mid 4s, which I […]

Well that was a very odd day! 1-0 to Wolves and I tried trading out once it got back into the high threes. Market permanently suspended which usually means Betfair have lost their feed to the game. I contacted them and they confirmed this. While talking it went to 2-0, and thankfully I fired up […]

Well a nice win eventually, Sandhausen were clearly slamming everything into defence to try to scratch out a 0-0 draw but when the favourite finally scored it was gloves off time. I laid under 2.5 goals @ 1.1 about 10 minutes before the first goal. That was a partial hedge, well more a trade in […]

Big shortlist today but I am still approaching the coupon with a lot of caution. Munchen Gladbach, Everton, there are many similar picks which I would be interested in later in the season but I am writing these off for now at least for a standard lay the draw trade. I may limit all my […]

I don't often do updates on the day's trades, I barely have time to post the trades these days let alone the results but this time I felt I must, if only to show this lovely screenshot of the Norrkoping game, my only nailed on lay draw trade for the day. It's probably the best […]

Ha, I had a sneaky feeling Barcelona would lose. I had a cheeky £2 bet at 70-1 for "Any Other Away Win" which was one of those silly hunch things. I thought there would be a lot more goals but fancied Barca might lose that game. Only half right unfortunately so I lose the painful […]